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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Knowledge Modeling Knowledge Mapping |  Engineering Kanban |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 5-20 min | 1-3 h | Ongoing |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 3-12 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Knowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer Plan | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | EstimationEffortRisk | KnowledgeMappingRisk | FlowVisual managementDelivery |