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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Decision Making Decision Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Decision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs |