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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Agile WSJF |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 90-180 min | 45-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-10 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |