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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Communication Plan |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Shape Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many people need to be informed in parallel and messages would otherwise arrive unevenly or too late, a Communication Plan orders communication reliably. Channels, audiences, and cadences interlock so important information doesn't get lost. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | laufend | 6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 | 2-12 | 2-4 pro Pitch |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Communication Plan, Channel Matrix, Message Cadence | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | CommunicationStakeholdersDeliveryPlanning | EstimationForecastingFlow | PlanningDeliveryAutonomy |