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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of a four-column Kanban board with limited ongoing work, a visible blocker and a review loop.
Engineering
Kanban
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-3 h15-45 minOngoing
Participantsdifferent
1-83-81-82-12
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesKanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
FlowMeasurementConstraints
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
FlowVisual managementDelivery
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