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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-3 h30-120 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-83-82-62-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
FlowMeasurementConstraints
LeanObservationProcessOperations
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
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