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Criterion
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing North Star Metric with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
North Star Metric
Purposedifferent
The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
Multiple workshops over several weeks15-45 min5-20 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-81-83-203-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsNorth Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadence
Tagsno overlap
GrowthBehaviorRetention
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationEffortRisk
GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention
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