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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
A paper-based illustration representing WSJF with its core stages and visible working result.
Agile
WSJF
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-90 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
3-103-101-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsRanked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay AssumptionsForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationCoD Table, Prioritization Sequence
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization
ForecastingFlowDelivery
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
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