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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 hHalbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-103-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresHorizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
FlowMeasurementConstraints
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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