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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 30-60 min | 45-60 min | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |