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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-3 hlaufend5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
3-84-102-123-20
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
FailureResilienceRisk
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationEffortRisk
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