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Criterion
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 Wochen5-20 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-81-63-202-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
FailureResilienceRisk
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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