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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 h or multiple roundslaufend30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
3-204-12 Experten2-121-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationForecastingFlow
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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