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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing North Star Metric with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
North Star Metric
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-2 hMultiple workshops over several weeks60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-203-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsNorth Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadenceHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention
GrowthBehaviorRetention
GrowthRetentionConversion
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