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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Growth Flywheel |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Growth Funnel Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 60-120 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 3-8 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Funnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | GrowthRetentionConversion | ForecastingFlowDelivery | AnalyticsConversionGrowth |