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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For an acute quality or delivery problem, the method structures immediate protection and root cause work together. It keeps the situation stable while the actual cause is investigated cleanly.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 Wochen1-6 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
3-206-30 Experten4-104-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes8D Report, Containment Plan, Root Cause Evidence, Corrective Action PlanEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
QualityProblem solvingRoot cause
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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