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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min2-6 h1-3 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-203-83-83-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
FlowMeasurementConstraints
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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