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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Strategy SMART Goals |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When goals are formulated too generally, it brings measurability, direction, and timing into shape. It prevents intentions from staying without clear verification. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 45-60 min | 15-30 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 2-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | SMART Goal, Measurement Note, Deadline | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | GoalsPlanningMeasurementAlignment | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |