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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper objective sheet with five SMART fields, baseline, target, owner, deadline and a complete result statement.
Product Strategy
SMART Goals
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When goals are formulated too generally, it brings measurability, direction, and timing into shape. It prevents intentions from staying without clear verification.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-60 min15-30 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-202-81-81-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSMART Goal, Measurement Note, DeadlineExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
GoalsPlanningMeasurementAlignment
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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