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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |