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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |