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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth Flywheel |  Growth North Star Metric |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | North Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadence | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthRetentionConversion | GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |