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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth Flywheel |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min | 30-60 min | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthRetentionConversion | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |