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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | 30-60 min | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 2-6 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionTreeOptions | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |