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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A paper-based illustration representing Pirate Metrics (AARRR) with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
Pirate Metrics AARRR
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.For products with complex usage paths, overall growth alone is too coarse to reveal bottlenecks. Pirate Metrics breaks the relationship with the product into consecutive stages and shows where the funnel actually leaks.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-60 min1-5 Tage1-2 h Setup, laufend
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-6Nutzertraffic2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCounter Metric List, Guardrail DefinitionsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAARRR funnel, Metric baseline, Experiment backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
GrowthMetricsExperiments
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