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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Agile WSJF |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 45-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 3-10 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | ForecastingFlowDelivery |