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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Bottleneck Analysis |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 30-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FlowMeasurementConstraints | DecisionTreeOptions | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |