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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Decision Making Decision Matrix |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20-45 min | 45-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Decision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics |