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| Criterion |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-180 min | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-20 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | KPI Tree, Owner List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |