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Criterion
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h20–45 min15-60 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group2-93-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
FlowMeasurementConstraints
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationEffortRisk
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