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Criterion
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
Purposedifferent
For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h20–45 min1-4 Wochen30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group6-30 Experten2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCounter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions
Tagsno overlap
FlowMeasurementConstraints
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments
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