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Criterion
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-3 h15-45 minlaufend
Participantsdifferent
3-83-81-82-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
FlowMeasurementConstraints
FailureResilienceRisk
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationForecastingFlow
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