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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Stock and Flow Diagram method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Stock and Flow Diagram
Design sheets and interface cards connect to jointly written pseudocode with highlighted unresolved questions.
Architecture
ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics.ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-3 h2-6 h2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional
Participantsdifferent
2-82-81-6Designers, developers as users, and facilitation
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsStock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation HypothesesPrioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking
ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks
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