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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Growth Pirate Metrics AARRR |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | For products with complex usage paths, overall growth alone is too coarse to reveal bottlenecks. Pirate Metrics breaks the relationship with the product into consecutive stages and shows where the funnel actually leaks. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-60 min | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-6 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | AARRR funnel, Metric baseline, Experiment backlog | KPI Tree, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | GrowthMetricsExperiments | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement |