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| Criterion |  Delivery Shape Up |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Engineering Kanban |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Shape Up helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow. It makes work boundaries and decisions explicit and captures results as pitches, bet-table decisions, and hill charts. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 6 Wochen Cycle + 2 Wochen Cool-Down | 5-20 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Ongoing |
Participantsdifferent | 2-4 pro Pitch | 3-20 | 1-8 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Pitches, Bet-table decisions, Hill charts, Cooldown outcomes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics |
Tagsno overlap | PlanningDeliveryAutonomy | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingFlowDelivery | FlowVisual managementDelivery |