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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Strategy KPI Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | 90-180 min initial, dann laufend | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | KPI Tree, Owner List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |