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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Four paper stations connect system purpose, quality goals, risk cards and focused investigation with a target and gap profile.
Architecture
LASR (Lightweight Approach for Software Reviews)
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.LASR helps development teams identify where their software falls short of important quality goals and which improvements to consider. A small group with existing system knowledge can make an initial assessment and investigate open questions in more detail.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend3–4 h for initial assessment; preparation and deeper analysis additionallaufend5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81 or a small team; particularly suitable for 3–4 people2-123-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationLean Mission Statement describing the software’s purpose, Prioritized quality goals and evaluation criteria, Risks and estimated gaps against quality goals, More closely examined findings and open checksThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
ArchitectureQualityRiskAssessmentLean
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationEffortRisk
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