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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a four-column Kanban board with limited ongoing work, a visible blocker and a review loop.
Engineering
Kanban
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-3 h5-20 minOngoing
Participantsdifferent
1-83-83-202-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsKanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
FlowMeasurementConstraints
EstimationEffortRisk
FlowVisual managementDelivery
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