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Criterion
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Purposedifferent
For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h20–45 min5-20 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-8Small cross-functional group3-203-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions
Tagsno overlap
FlowMeasurementConstraints
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
EstimationEffortRisk
FailureResilienceRisk
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